Did the US dodge a recession? As outlook softens, analysts reassess

A rising tide of economists are backing away from early forecasts that the U.S. is very likely to enter a recession later this year or by the first quarter of 2024. But some still see dark clouds ahead. Continue reading

How Harvard’s housing report sees the current (and future) market

With natural growth slowing, writes economist Matthew Gardner, states will recognize the importance of attracting new residents from other markets as domestic migration will become a more important driver of household growth and housing demand. Continue reading

Summer Cooldown: Newly built homes will offer a lifeline for agents

Three leading economists share what’s ahead for the summer, from sellers’ continued struggles with mortgage rates to the resurgence of bidding wars and the gift of new-home sales. Continue reading

Did this economist nail his 2023 predictions (so far)?

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner takes a look back at his pre-2023 market predictions to check his math and his accuracy. Continue reading

Economist explains that controversial FHFA fee change

There’s been a lot of talk about the FHFA’s fee increase, but economist Matthew Gardner thinks that, for the most part, it’s much ado about nothing. Continue reading

What the latest Fed survey data tells us about consumer psyches

Take a look at the latest SCE Housing Survey which offers a detailed look at consumers’ psyche in regard to the housing market. Continue reading

Will migration fizzle out in 2023? History points to existential shift

The migration trends that drove housing demand during the pandemic are ending. But that doesn’t mean people aren’t moving, according to an Inman analysis of historic data. Continue reading

Will an inventory shortage stymie spring? Look to 1994 for clues

This spring won’t be easy for homebuyers and their agents, but history is full of examples in which the supply of homes went down, but sales kept chugging along, according to an Inman analysis. Continue reading

Dreading a rise in foreclosures? Here’s one economist’s take

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner has pulled the latest data on foreclosure starts and looked at the quality of mortgages that have been given to buyers in order to give you a clear idea of how foreclosures will impact the overall housing mark… Continue reading

Will spring be a bust? 4 decades of housing data tell a complex story

Past periods of high inflation and high rates — be it in 1979, 1980 or 1990 — have caused the housing market to stall. But they also didn’t crush it forever, according to an Inman analysis. Continue reading