Washington’s political drama obscures potential new rate drops

The forecast for interest rates is still low, reinforced by new information from the Federal Reserve. Continue reading

Housing market too strong for more Fed cuts

President Trump has tweeted that the “boneheads” at the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates to “zero” or “less,” but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell took a more moderate approach. Continue reading

Central banks scramble to ward off fears of a recession

Every thought in President Trump’s tweets is mistaken, which markets and businesses understand. They also understand that these tweets have no effect on Fed decisions. However, the erroneous content is worrisome because he does directly control trade a… Continue reading

How will a trade war impact the US?

Central banks can see this coming, underway in several places. But they have another problem: very little room to cut rates, and desperately frightened of the “zero bound.” Thus a continuous argument worthy of Monty Python: Do we fire our limited ammun… Continue reading

Yield curve inversion fears are overblown

Yield curves predicting recessions did so historically and will again at the end of Fed overshoots. The Fed has done no such thing this time. Continue reading

Fed, other regulators crack down on money laundering

Uncle Sam is getting serious about illicit money laundering, especially as it applies to real estate. Here’s what the Fed and four other regulatory agencies are doing to take action against financial crimes that affect our industry every day. Continue reading