How will a trade war impact the US?

Central banks can see this coming, underway in several places. But they have another problem: very little room to cut rates, and desperately frightened of the “zero bound.” Thus a continuous argument worthy of Monty Python: Do we fire our limited ammun… Continue reading

Yield curve inversion fears are overblown

Yield curves predicting recessions did so historically and will again at the end of Fed overshoots. The Fed has done no such thing this time. Continue reading

Fed, other regulators crack down on money laundering

Uncle Sam is getting serious about illicit money laundering, especially as it applies to real estate. Here’s what the Fed and four other regulatory agencies are doing to take action against financial crimes that affect our industry every day. Continue reading