Fed tightening likely to produce a ‘modest recession:’ Economists

Fannie Mae forecasters say the Federal Reserve’s decision on how high and long to keep rates up presents “a major risk over the next year,” with a question of a downturn more a matter of “when” than “if.” Continue reading

Housing is outperforming, but recession may still be in the cards

Fannie Mae economists say “extraordinarily tight” inventories of existing homes driven by mortgage lock-in effect has shifted demand toward new homes. Continue reading

Consumers finally get it: Mortgage rates are probably going down

A more optimistic outlook of where mortgage rates are headed drives the largest increase in Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index in more than two years. Continue reading

Home sales will be ‘subdued’ for rest of 2023, Fannie Mae projects

The housing sector’s resilience to higher prices and mortgage rates has bolstered prices, but a lack of for-sale inventory is expected to limit sales, according to Fannie’s latest monthly forecast. Continue reading

After 3 months of improvement, homebuyer sentiment declines

Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey shows Americans are feeling less secure about keeping their jobs, and nearly 8 in 10 think it’s a bad time to buy a home. Continue reading

‘Modest’ recession could put a lid on 2023 home sales: Fannie Mae

Economic downturn could put a damper on a promising start to the spring homebuying season, but set the stage for mortgage rates to ease and for home sales to rebound in 2024. Continue reading

Improved mortgage rate outlook could bode well for home sales

Fannie Mae economists are not quite as gloomy about the 2023 home sales outlook as mortgage rates retreat from 2022 highs, with more room to ease. Continue reading

Homebuyer sentiment up slightly in November for first time in 9 months

Fannie Mae survey shows consumers remain concerned about factors, including the outlook for home price declines, mortgage rates and access to mortgage credit. Continue reading

Fannie Mae economists see home sales bottoming next year

Sales expected to drop to lowest level since 2008, and the growing lock-in effect — the financial disincentive to sell — “will remain in a way that has not occurred in over 40 years,” economists say. Continue reading