He’s been at the MBA and Fannie Mae. Here’s who he thinks has the better 2026 mortgage forecast

Economist Doug Duncan weighs in on the challenges facing economic forecasters today, cutbacks in economic reports produced by Fannie and Freddie, Fed independence, and more. Continue reading

Home sales could inch up even if growth stays sluggish next year

Home sales should break through the 5 million mark next year as more inventory gradually comes on the market and home prices decline, economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association predict. Continue reading

Mortgage demand dips as Fed signals cautious approach to rates

Homebuyer demand is still stronger than a year ago, but seasonal shifts have pushed the mix of business toward refinancing, which accounted for 59% of loan applications last week. Continue reading

Inventory tightens up as new listings tank: Redfin

As Americans become immersed in the hustle and bustle of the holiday season and buyer demand softens, homesellers are pulling back from the housing market. Continue reading

Homebuyer demand stays strong as mortgage rates stabilize near 2025 lows: MBA lender surveys

With mortgage rates still hovering near 2025 lows, purchase loan applications hit their second-highest level of the year last week after adjusting for seasonal factors. Continue reading

Homebuyers came out in force last week, and rates are trending down

Applications for purchase mortgages hit a seasonally adjusted 2025 high last week, with FHA, VA, and USDA applications for less pricey homes driving the surge. Continue reading

Rising unemployment revives prospects for December rate cut

Fannie Mae forecasters are predicting mortgage rates will fall below 6 percent by the end of next year. Economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association don’t see rates coming down at all. Continue reading

Rebounding mortgage rates dampen homebuyers’ appetites

After hitting a 2025 low on Oct. 28, mortgage rates continue to rise as hopes dim for a December Fed rate cut. Futures market investors on Wednesday saw only a 34 percent chance of a Dec. 10 rate cut, down from 94 percent in October. Continue reading

Homebuying off to strongest November start since 2022

Rebounding mortgage rates didn’t stop buyers from shopping for deals last week, with requests for purchase loans up 6 percent last week compared to the week before and 31 percent from a year ago, according to lender data tracked by the Mortgage Bankers… Continue reading

Demand for mortgages cools as rates rebound from 2025 low

Mortgage rates hit a new 2025 low of 6.12 percent on Oct. 28, but have been on the rise after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said there’s no guarantee the Fed will cut rates for a third time in December. Continue reading